Kenya Bond Market Update: 03 June 2024

Published on
June 3, 2024
*|MC:SUBJECT|*
View this email in your browser

June Time

 
Just a quick refresher of what the CBK has in store for the market during the month of June:
  • FXD1/2023/2Yr (1.2 years) & FXD1/2024/3Yr (2.6 years): KES 30Bn target set, auction date is 05-June-2024
  • FXD1/2023/5Yr (4.1 years) & FXD1/2023/10Yr (8.7 years): KES 30Bn target set, auction date is 12-June-2024
As you can see above, we have the first part of the auction concluding this week with the re-opened FXD1/2023/2Yr and the FXD1/2024/3Yr being auctioned on Wednesday, 05-June-2024. Below are my initial thoughts on where these two bonds will be priced:
  • FXD1/2023/2Yr: 16.90% - 17.10%
  • FXD1/2023/5Yr: 17.90% - 18.10%
  • Expecting an oversubscription as the market historically favours short dated FXDs at auctions.
Away from the primary auctions and to set you up for the week ahead, attached is the CBK weekly report to assist in your reading of the market while updated benchmark Yield Curve levels are ready for your perusal on the attached pricelist. I have also attached the NSE Implied Yields for the NSE’s valuations of all the treasuries. To bring it all together, below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy hunting! 
 
Below are the two-way quotes for the benchmark tenors:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 17.00 16.70 0.00
2Yr 17.00 16.75 0.00
5yr 18.00 17.50 0.00
10yr 16.50 16.10 0.00
15yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
20yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
25yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
Below are details of the two-way quotes for the infrastructure bonds and the key rates:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7 (IFB13) Nov-24 15.25 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/9 (IFB10) May-25 15.25 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2015/12 (IFB8) Mar-27 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2017/12 (IFB12) Feb-29 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/15 (IFB11) Oct-31 16.00 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2018/15 (IFB14) Jan-33 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2018/20 (IFB15) Oct-38 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/25 (IFB16) Feb-44 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/16 (IFB17) Oct-35 15.50 15.20 0.00
IFB1/2020/9 (IFB18) Apr-29 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/6 (IFB19) May-26 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/11 (IFB20) Aug-31 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/16 (IFB21) Jan-37 15.80 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2021/18 (IFB22) Mar-39 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/21 (IFB23) Aug-42 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/19 (IFB24) Jan-41 16.60 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/18 (IFB25) May-40 16.60 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/14 (IFB26) Oct-36 16.60 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/6 (IFB27) Nov-28 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/17 (IFB28) Feb-40 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/7 (IFB29) Jun-30 16.90 16.20 0.00
IFB1/2023/6.5 (IFB30) May-30 16.75 16.50 -0.15
IFB1/2024/8.5 (IFB31) Aug-32 17.00 16.90 0.02
 
 
Key Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 13.3289% -7.96
91 Day T-bill 15.9545% 0.92
182 Day T-bill 16.6076% 4.38
364 Day T-bill 16.7061% 8.30
Central Bank Rate (CBR) 13.00% 0.00
Inflation 5.10% 10.00
Attached are the bond positions available today, the NSE Implied Yields, the CBK Weekly Report, inflation data for May 2024 and the June 2024 Bond Auction Prospectus.
Bond Positions
NSE Implied Yields
CBK Weekly Report
Inflation Data May 2024
June 2024 Bond Auction Prospectus
Trade Now
View Previous Market Updates
Share Share
Tweet Tweet
Share Share
Copyright © 2022 Bespoke Securities Limited, All Rights Reserved.






This email was sent to *|EMAIL|*
why did I get this?    unsubscribe from this list    update subscription preferences
*|LIST:ADDRESSLINE|*

*|REWARDS|*