Kenya Bond Market Update: 07 November 2024

Published on
November 7, 2024
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Thankful Thursday
 

The results of the re-opened FXD1/2023/10Yr and FXD1/2022/15Yr are with us and below is a quick summary. You will note that I was more bearish than the market when it came to how the auction played out, but we are adjusting the crystal ball to capture the market’s bullish stance. Below are the summarized results as promised:

  • FXD1/2023/10Yr (8.5 years): 15.9724% average on the back of KES 10.286Bn in bids accepted from a total of KES 16.331Bn in bids received
  • FXD1/2022/15Yr (12.5 years): 16.2986% average on the back of KES 15.397Bn in bids accepted from a total of KES 16.717Bn in bids received
  • Subscription: the auction was oversubscribed as a total of KES 33.048Bn in bids was received, of which KES 25.683Bn was accepted by the Central Bank
  • Note: Bids for the longer paper surpassed those of the shorter bond, pointing to the market’s bullish feel when it comes to the fixed income space. The Central Bank was also in a position to reject bids as they continue to strengthen their signal to the market for lower rates.

For your other trading activities for the day, below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy hunting!

Below are the two-way quotes for the benchmark tenors:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 15.00 14.70 -0.10
2Yr 15.30 15.00 -0.20
5yr 15.80 15.50 -0.15
10yr 16.40 16.00 -0.25
15yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
20yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
25yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
Below are details of the two-way quotes for the infrastructure bonds and the key rates:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7 (IFB13) Nov-24 14.50 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/9 (IFB10) May-25 14.50 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2015/12 (IFB8) Mar-27 14.70 14.30 0.00
IFB1/2017/12 (IFB12) Feb-29 14.90 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2016/15 (IFB11) Oct-31 14.90 14.60 0.00
IFB1/2018/15 (IFB14) Jan-33 15.00 14.70 0.00
IFB1/2018/20 (IFB15) Oct-38 15.20 14.90 0.00
IFB1/2019/25 (IFB16) Feb-44 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/16 (IFB17) Oct-35 15.30 14.75 0.00
IFB1/2020/9 (IFB18) Apr-29 15.00 14.70 0.00
IFB1/2020/6 (IFB19) May-26 15.00 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2020/11 (IFB20) Aug-31 15.00 14.70 0.00
IFB1/2021/16 (IFB21) Jan-37 15.20 14.80 0.00
IFB1/2021/18 (IFB22) Mar-39 15.30 14.80 0.00
IFB1/2021/21 (IFB23) Aug-42 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/19 (IFB24) Jan-41 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/18 (IFB25) May-40 15.30 14.80 0.00
IFB1/2022/14 (IFB26) Oct-36 15.30 14.80 0.00
IFB1/2022/6 (IFB27) Nov-28 14.70 14.30 0.00
IFB1/2023/17 (IFB28) Feb-40 14.90 14.60 0.00
IFB1/2023/7 (IFB29) Jun-30 14.90 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2023/6.5 (IFB30) May-30 14.80 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2024/8.5 (IFB31) Aug-32 14.90 14.75 0.12
 
Key  Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 12.0778% 0.50
91 Day T-bill 13.9656% -46.65
182 Day T-bill 14.5233% -62.34
364 Day T-bill 14.9684% -50.07
Central Bank Rate (CBR) 12.00% -75.00
Inflation 2.70% -90.00
Below are links to the bond positions available today, the results for the FXD1/2023/10Yr & FXD1/2022/15Yr and the November 2024 bond auction prospectus.
Bond Positions
Results for the FXD1/2023/10Yr & FXD1/2022/15Yr
November 2024 Bond Auction Prospectus
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