Kenya Bond Market Update: 04 June 2024

Published on
June 4, 2024
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Prep your Bids

 
In my haste to churn out my expectations, I didn’t capture my expectations for the FXD1/2024/3Yr that closes on Wednesday. I instead highlighted the FXD1/2023/5Yr that closes next week, so let me bring it back to this week’s auction. Below are my current thoughts on where this week’s bonds will be priced:
  • FXD1/2023/2Yr (1.2 years): 16.90% - 17.10%
  • FXD1/2024/3Yr (2.6 years): 17.50% - 17.70%
  • Expecting an oversubscription as the market historically favours short dated FXDs at auctions.
For your trading activities away from the primary, below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy hunting!
Below are the two-way quotes for the benchmark tenors:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 17.00 16.70 0.00
2Yr 17.00 16.75 0.00
5yr 18.00 17.50 0.00
10yr 16.50 16.10 0.00
15yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
20yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
25yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
Below are details of the two-way quotes for the infrastructure bonds and the key rates:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7 (IFB13) Nov-24 15.25 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/9 (IFB10) May-25 15.25 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2015/12 (IFB8) Mar-27 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2017/12 (IFB12) Feb-29 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/15 (IFB11) Oct-31 16.00 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2018/15 (IFB14) Jan-33 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2018/20 (IFB15) Oct-38 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/25 (IFB16) Feb-44 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/16 (IFB17) Oct-35 15.50 15.20 0.00
IFB1/2020/9 (IFB18) Apr-29 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/6 (IFB19) May-26 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/11 (IFB20) Aug-31 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/16 (IFB21) Jan-37 15.80 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2021/18 (IFB22) Mar-39 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/21 (IFB23) Aug-42 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/19 (IFB24) Jan-41 16.60 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/18 (IFB25) May-40 16.60 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/14 (IFB26) Oct-36 16.60 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/6 (IFB27) Nov-28 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/17 (IFB28) Feb-40 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/7 (IFB29) Jun-30 16.90 16.20 0.00
IFB1/2023/6.5 (IFB30) May-30 16.75 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2024/8.5 (IFB31) Aug-32 17.00 16.90 0.00
 
 
Key  Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 13.2481% -8.08
91 Day T-bill 15.9545% 0.92
182 Day T-bill 16.6076% 4.38
364 Day T-bill 16.7061% 8.30
Central Bank Rate (CBR) 13.00% 0.00
Inflation 5.10% 10.00
Attached are the bond positions available today and the June 2024 Bond Auction Prospectus.
Bond Positions
June 2024 Bond Auction Prospectus
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