Kenya Bond Market Update: 08 October 2024

Published on
October 8, 2024
*|MC:SUBJECT|*
View this email in your browser

MPC Tuesday

 

The Central Bank has re-opened both the FXD1/2016/10Yr (1.8 years) and the FXD1/2022/10Yr (7.6 years) in a bid to raise KES 30Bn. The sale period ends tomorrow, 09-Oct-2024 and as promised, below are my expectations:

  • FXD1/2016/10Yr (1.8 years): 16.90% - 17.40% range
  • FXD1/2022/10Yr (7.6 years): 16.75% - 17.25% range
  • Subscription: Expecting and oversubscription due to increased liquidity levels in the market. I expect interest to be skewed towards the shorter dated option, FXD1/2016/10Yr.

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank will meet today and market expectations are that we will see a further cut in the Central Bank Rate (CBR).Expectations are crowding around the 50bp mark. I will share the outcome of this meeting and the decision reached once it is published. For your trading activities ahead, below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy hunting and bidding!

**Links to the attachments to be found below this note

Below are the two-way quotes for the benchmark tenors:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 16.80 16.50 0.00
2Yr 17.40 16.90 0.00
5yr 18.00 17.50 0.00
10yr 17.00 16.70 0.00
15yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
20yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
25yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
 
Below are details of the two-way quotes for the infrastructure bonds and the key rates:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7 (IFB13) Nov-24 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/9 (IFB10) May-25 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2015/12 (IFB8) Mar-27 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2017/12 (IFB12) Feb-29 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/15 (IFB11) Oct-31 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2018/15 (IFB14) Jan-33 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2018/20 (IFB15) Oct-38 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/25 (IFB16) Feb-44 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/16 (IFB17) Oct-35 16.50 16.20 0.00
IFB1/2020/9 (IFB18) Apr-29 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/6 (IFB19) May-26 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/11 (IFB20) Aug-31 17.00 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/16 (IFB21) Jan-37 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2021/18 (IFB22) Mar-39 17.10 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2021/21 (IFB23) Aug-42 17.20 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/19 (IFB24) Jan-41 17.10 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/18 (IFB25) May-40 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/14 (IFB26) Oct-36 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/6 (IFB27) Nov-28 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/17 (IFB28) Feb-40 16.35 16.15 -0.10
IFB1/2023/7 (IFB29) Jun-30 15.85 15.65 0.00
IFB1/2023/6.5 (IFB30) May-30 15.85 15.65 0.05
IFB1/2024/8.5 (IFB31) Aug-32 15.90 15.70 0.02
 
 
Key  Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 12.4758% -16.64
91 Day T-bill 15.6855% -3.28
182 Day T-bill 16.4999% -8.89
364 Day T-bill 16.7291% -7.08
Central Bank Rate (CBR) 12.75% -25.00
Inflation 3.60% -80.00
Below are the links to the Bond positions available today and October’s bond auction prospectus.
Bond Positions
October’s Bond Auction Prospectus
Trade Now
View Previous Market Updates
Share Share
Tweet Tweet
Share Share
Copyright © 2022 Bespoke Securities Limited, All Rights Reserved.






This email was sent to *|EMAIL|*
why did I get this?    unsubscribe from this list    update subscription preferences
*|LIST:ADDRESSLINE|*

*|REWARDS|*