Kenya Bond Market Update: 15 April 2024

Published on
April 15, 2024
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Auction Week

 
The sale period of the re-opened FXD1/2023/2Yr (1.4 years) closes this Wednesday. My expectations for the auction are as follows:
  • Average: 17.10% – 17.30%, with the cut-off coming in 20bps away from the average
  • Subscription: Oversubscription anticipated. Given last week’s T-bill results, rates in the short end space may begin their downward trajectory, making this auction all the more attractive
  • Updates will be made as the auction date approaches. Attached is the prospectus for any additional information required
To set you up for the week ahead, attached is the CBK weekly report to assist in your reading of the market while updated benchmark Yield Curve levels are ready for your perusal on the attached pricelist. I have also attached the NSE Implied Yields for the NSE’s valuations of all the treasuries.
To bring it all together, below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy hunting and bidding!

 
Below are the two-way quotes for the benchmark tenors:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 17.50 17.10 0.00
2Yr 18.30 18.00 0.00
5yr 18.50 18.00 0.00
10yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
15yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
20yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
25yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
 

Below are details of the two-way quotes for the infrastructure bonds and the key rates:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7 (IFB13) Nov-24 15.75 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2016/9 (IFB10) May-25 15.85 15.75 0.00
IFB1/2015/12 (IFB8) Mar-27 14.50 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2017/12 (IFB12) Feb-29 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/15 (IFB11) Oct-31 16.00 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2018/15 (IFB14) Jan-33 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2018/20 (IFB15) Oct-38 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/25 (IFB16) Feb-44 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/16 (IFB17) Oct-35 15.50 15.20 0.00
IFB1/2020/9 (IFB18) Apr-29 17.50 17.20 0.00
IFB1/2020/6 (IFB19) May-26 17.50 17.10 0.00
IFB1/2020/11 (IFB20) Aug-31 17.50 17.20 0.00
IFB1/2021/16 (IFB21) Jan-37 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/18 (IFB22) Mar-39 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2021/21 (IFB23) Aug-42 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/19 (IFB24) Jan-41 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/18 (IFB25) May-40 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/14 (IFB26) Oct-36 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/6 (IFB27) Nov-28 17.50 17.20 0.00
IFB1/2023/17 (IFB28) Feb-40 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/7 (IFB29) Jun-30 16.90 16.20 0.00
IFB1/2023/6.5 (IFB30) May-30 16.70 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2024/8.5 (IFB31) Aug-32 16.70 16.55 0.00
 
Key  Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 13.1875% -26.35
91 Day T-bill 15.7330% -99.13
182 Day T-bill 16.8684% -0.54
364 Day T-bill 16.5310% -45.88
Central Bank Rate (CBR) 13.00% 0.00
Inflation 5.70% -60.00
 
Attached are the bond positions available today, the NSE Implied Yields, the CBK Weekly Report and the FXD1/2023/2Yr (Re-opened) Bond Auction Prospectus.
Bond Positions
NSE Implied Yields
CBK Weekly Report
FXD1/2023/2Yr (Re-opened) Bond Auction Prospectus
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