Kenya Bond Market Update: 16 February 2024

Published on
February 16, 2024
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Calm Friday

This week has seen sentiments change in the bond market as interest in Kenya’s Government debt instruments has shot up. From the current rates on offer, to Kenya’s successful albeit pricey solution to this year’s Eurobond payment, offshore investors have made a comeback in a strong way. In the T-bill space, maturities continue to be the biggest determinant of the interest shown. This week however, we have seen a bit of interest begin to shift to the longer dated T-bills as the notion that rates may be peaking begins to influence investment decisions. My expectation is that the appetite for longer duration in the T-bill space will start to reflect in the auction results going forward. Attached are the results for this week’s T-bill auction for your perusal.

For you to navigate the rest of the curve before we get to weekending, below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy hunting!

Below are the two-way quotes for the benchmark tenors:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 17.20 16.80 0.40
2Yr 18.40 18.00 0.02
5yr 18.60 18.20 -0.25
10yr 17.00 16.50 0.00
15yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
20yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
25yr 16.30 16.00 0.00

Below are details of the two-way quotes for the infrastructure bonds and the key rates:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7 (IFB13) Nov-24 15.75 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2016/9 (IFB10) May-25 15.85 15.75 0.00
IFB1/2015/12 (IFB8) Mar-27 14.50 14.00 0.00
IFB1/2017/12 (IFB12) Feb-29 16.00 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/15 (IFB11) Oct-31 16.00 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2018/15 (IFB14) Jan-33 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2018/20 (IFB15) Oct-38 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/25 (IFB16) Feb-44 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/16 (IFB17) Oct-35 15.50 15.20 0.00
IFB1/2020/9 (IFB18) Apr-29 14.75 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2020/6 (IFB19) May-26 13.50 12.75 0.00
IFB1/2020/11 (IFB20) Aug-31 17.50 16.75 0.00
IFB1/2021/16 (IFB21) Jan-37 17.00 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/18 (IFB22) Mar-39 17.00 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2021/21 (IFB23) Aug-42 17.00 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2022/19 (IFB24) Jan-41 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/18 (IFB25) May-40 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/14 (IFB26) Oct-36 17.00 16.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/6 (IFB27) Nov-28 17.00 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/17 (IFB28) Feb-40 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/7 (IFB29) Jun-30 16.50 16.00 0.00
IFB1/2023/6.5 (IFB30) May-30 17.40 16.95 -0.08
IFB1/2023/8.5 (IFB31) Aug-32 18.00 17.85 0.08
 
Key  Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 13.5370% 12.90
91 Day T-bill 16.5539% 5.01
182 Day T-bill 16.7155% 8.24
364 Day T-bill 16.9188% 6.14
Central Bank Rate (CBR) 13.00% 50.00
Inflation 6.90% 30.00
 

Attached are the bond positions available today and this week’s T-bill auction results.

Bond Positions
T-bill Auction Results
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