Kenya Bond Market Update: 3 November 2023

Published on
November 3, 2023
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First Weekend

 
The first weekend of November is upon us but before we get to that, let me help you through your trading activities for today. This week’s T-bill auction results are attached for your perusal. No changes in how the market bids as interest remains pegged on incoming maturities while the bids submitted remain heavily skewed towards the shortest bill, the 91D. Finally, the yields across all three bills continue to edge up as they remain above 15%.
Away from this, we have the IFB1/2023/6.5Yr closing next week Wednesday, 08-Nov-2023. My expectations, which will be updated as we approach the closing date, are below:
  • Average: Average between 17.50% – 17.60%
  • Subscription: Unsure on this as the market remains tight but I work to get some clarity on this and update accordingly
Below is a snapshot of what is at play within the secondary market for your consideration. Happy hunting!
 
Below are the two-way quotes for the benchmark tenors:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - Benchmark Tenors
Benchmark Tenor Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
1Yr 15.40 15.10 0.00
2Yr 17.55 17.40 0.00
5yr 18.00 17.80 0.00
10yr 17.00 16.50 0.00
15yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
20yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
25yr 16.50 16.00 0.00
 

Below are details of the two-way quotes for the infrastructure bonds and the key rates:
 
Indicative Two-Way Quotes - IFB Series
IFB series Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Mov (t-t0)%
IFB1/2017/7 (IFB13) Nov-24 13.50 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2016/9 (IFB10) May-25 13.50 13.00 0.00
IFB1/2015/12 (IFB8) Mar-27 13.75 13.25 0.00
IFB1/2017/12 (IFB12) Feb-29 17.00 16.00 -0.25
IFB1/2016/15 (IFB11) Oct-31 17.00 16.00 -0.25
IFB1/2018/15 (IFB14) Jan-33 15.10 14.90 0.00
IFB1/2018/20 (IFB15) Oct-38 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2019/25 (IFB16) Feb-44 16.20 15.75 0.00
IFB1/2019/16 (IFB17) Oct-35 15.50 15.00 0.00
IFB1/2020/9 (IFB18) Apr-29 15.00 14.50 0.00
IFB1/2020/6 (IFB19) May-26 13.50 12.75 0.00
IFB1/2020/11 (IFB20) Aug-31 17.00 16.00 -0.25
IFB1/2021/16 (IFB21) Jan-37 16.00 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2021/18 (IFB22) Mar-39 16.00 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2021/21 (IFB23) Aug-42 16.50 15.75 0.00
IFB1/2022/19 (IFB24) Jan-41 15.80 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/18 (IFB25) May-40 16.00 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/14 (IFB26) Oct-36 15.85 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2022/6 (IFB27) Nov-28 14.65 14.35 0.00
IFB1/2023/17 (IFB28) Feb-40 16.00 15.50 0.00
IFB1/2023/7 (IFB29) Jun-30 16.20 15.90 -0.05
 
Key  Interest Rates   Mov (bps)
O/N Interbank 12.1836% -13.47
91 Day T-bill 15.1863% 7.51
182 Day T-bill 15.2714% 14.25
364 Day T-bill 15.4391% 5.24
Central Bank Rate (CBR) 10.50% 0.00
Inflation 6.90% 10.00
 
Attached are the bond positions available today, the T-bill auction results for this week and the bond prospectus for November 2023.
 
Bond Positions
T-bill Auction Results
Bond Prospectus for November 2023
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